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Archive for the Statistics Category

Local August Home Sales Show Continuing Trend of Fewer Sales, Higher Prices

Here is the latest press release from the NWMLS.  It doesn’t talk at all about the impending credit crisis, or predict what will happen next month, but there is just no way that home values can or will continue to increase like they have over the last few years.  If you think you may want (or need) to sell your house in the next five years, I would advise you to consider selling it asap, while prices are still high.

If you find yourself in a difficult situation because of the type of loan on your property or you have been trying to sell your own property and have not been able to sell for the price that you thought you would, please give me a call at any time.  I would be glad to give you my input and advice.  425-455-5478.

Here’s the press release:

Housing activity around western Washington during August resembled the pattern of the past several months with inventory continuing to grow, fewer homes selling and prices increasing compared to the same month a year ago.

New figures from Northwest Multiple Listing Service show pending sales in its 19-county service area dropped more than 22 percent from twelve months ago, while prices rose 2.8 percent.  Last month’s volume of pending sales, which totaled 7,751 transactions, was down about 10 percent from July when members reported 8,614 pending sales system-wide.

Brokers report plentiful selection in most areas, with inventory almost 46 percent larger than the number of listings offered a year ago.  At month end, there were 48,585 active listings of single family homes and condominiums in the Northwest MLS database, up from the year-ago total of 33,316. 

The total includes 14,500 new listings that MLS members added during the month – the fewest number since March. Those additions include 12,239 single family homes and 2,261 condominiums.

“The market is adjusting to a slower but steady pace,” said Northwest MLS director Dick Beeson, the broker/owner of Windermere Real Estate/Commencement Associates in Tacoma.  He noted savvy buyers are finding real values because they know motivated sellers are more flexible than they’ve been in a long time.

Despite market conditions that tend to favor buyers in many areas, home prices are still increasing, but at a slower pace.  For most counties in the NWMLS service area, the year-over-year gain was less than 7 percent, although five counties (Grant, Island, Lewis, Okanogan and San Juan) experienced double-digit price jumps compared to twelve months ago.

For the Puget Sound region encompassing King, Snohomish, Pierce and Kitsap counties, selling prices rose about 5 percent from a year ago. The median price for the 5,975 sales of single family homes and condos in the four-county region that closed during August was $361,822; a year ago, the median selling price was $344,575.

A closer look reveals considerable variation in year-over-year price changes within the MLS service area.  In King County, for example, the median price of a single family home (excluding condominiums) that sold last month was $477,345, a jump of more than 9.7 percent from a year ago.  For single family homes in Pierce County, the median selling price rose 6 percent, rising from $275,000 to $291,500.  In Snohomish County, sales prices climbed from $368,875 to $375,000, a gain of about 4.5 percent.

Prices surged 30 percent for single family homes that sold in San Juan County last month compared to a year ago.  Sellers in Jefferson County experienced a similar gain (28.4 percent).

Condo prices also vary widely across the Northwest MLS service area. In eight counties, the median price of a condo that sold during August was under $200,000.

In King County, which accounts for about six of every 10 condo sales in the MLS system, the median sales price for last month’s completed sales rose 5.75 percent, increasing from $269,500 to $285,000.  Within King County, the southwest and eastside sub-areas had double-digit price gains on condo sales compared to a year ago. 

The highest priced condos continue to be found in downtown Seattle.  The median price for last month’s completed sales of condos in the downtown area was $430,000, a slight drop from the year-ago figure of $440,000.

Washington state continues to experience little fallout from loan delinquencies and foreclosures.  A recent analysis by the Mortgage Bankers Association pegs the state’s foreclosure rate on all loans at 2.6 percent, one of only six states with rates under 3 percent.  For subprime ARMS (adjustable rate mortgages) the default rate for Washington stood at 10.4 percent; only Oregon (10.2 percent) and Utah (9.4 percent) claimed lower rates of delinquencies.

Washington also fared better than most states for home price appreciation for the second quarter.  Surveys by the Office of Federal Housing Enterprise Oversight (OFHEO) shows Washington was one of only four states where homes appreciated at 9 percent or more between the second quarter of 2006 and the second quarter of 2007. 

Northwest Multiple Listing Service, based in Kirkland, is the largest full-service MLS in the Northwest. The MLS is owned by its member brokers and currently encompasses nearly 2,100 companies with more than 26,000 sales associates. Together, they serve 19 counties, mostly in western Washington, plus Grant, Kittitas and Okanogan counties in the central part of the state.

 

Statistical Summary by Counties: Market Activity Summary for Aug. 2007

Aug 2007

Single Fam. Homes + Condos

LISTINGS

PENDING SALES

CLOSED SALES

King Co.

5123

13415

2987

3210

$477,058

$415,000

Snohomish

2353

6841

1151

1280

$367,223

$352,475

Pierce

2291

8839

1104

1120

$312,651

$285,000

Kitsap

656

2765

338

365

$354,963

$299,950

Mason

217

955

98

86

$232,445

$199,350

Skagit

341

1256

220

208

$318,454

$280,500

Grays Harbor

229

1013

116

94

$203,397

$177,050

Lewis

227

850

90

103

$197,002

$200,000

Cowlitz

214

809

101

110

$203,359

$185,350

Grant

171

630

108

100

$173,955

$171,114

Thurston

686

2415

398

439

$289,981

$269,000

San Juan

53

380

20

30

$551,787

$574,125

Island

282

1226

119

137

$368,219

$330,000

Kittitas

174

654

71

74

$258,870

$262,925

Jefferson

99

578

49

43

$373,422

$339,500

Okanogan

69

409

41

47

$189,137

$182,000

Whatcom

657

2524

381

398

$326,559

$275,000

Clark

251

1258

150

156

0

$259,238

Pacific

77

438

34

33

$166,019

$150,000

Others

330

1330

175

174

$239,491

$187,475

MLS TOTAL

14,500

48,585

7,751

8,207

$382,754

$329,000

4-county Puget Sound Region Pending Sales (SFH + Condo combined)

(totals include King, Snohomish, Pierce & Kitsap counties)

 

Jan

Feb

Mar

Apr

May

Jun

Jul

Aug

Sep

Oct

Nov

Dec

2000

3706

4778

5903

5116

5490

5079

4928

5432

4569

4675

4126

3166

2001

4334

5056

5722

5399

5631

5568

5434

5544

4040

4387

4155

3430

2002

4293

4735

5569

5436

6131

5212

5525

6215

5394

5777

4966

4153

2003

4746

5290

6889

6837

7148

7202

7673

7135

6698

6552

4904

4454

2004

4521

6284

8073

7910

7888

8186

7583

7464

6984

6761

6228

5195

2005

5426

6833

8801

8420

8610

8896

8207

8784

7561

7157

6188

4837

2006

5275

6032

8174

7651

8411

8094

7121

7692

6216

6403

5292

4346

2007

4869

6239

7192

6974

7311

6876

6371

5580

 

 

 

 

Bellevue Condo Inventory as of June 26, 2007

As of this evening, there are 163 condos for sale in the city of Bellevue.  The least expensive is a 446 sq ft studio listed at $210,000 and the most expensive is a 4 bedroom, 3.5 bath home of 3,588 sq feet listed for sale at a modest $3,550,000.

The average number of days on market is now at 42 and I look for this number (as well as number of listings) to continue to increase.

Bellevue Condo Inventory June 4, 2007

wa-square-condos.gifToday there are 143 Bellevue condos listed for sale on the NWMLS.   This is up from the  130 that were on the market on May 27th.  Listing prices are $210,00 to $3,550,000, with the average being a whopping $481,308 and the mean at $362,400.

It should be interesting to see what happens to the condo market in the coming months.

History has shown that the condo market takes the worst hit when a real estate market begins to slow, but there are some factors that will probably have an effect on the local market.  There are many projects here in Bellevue that will be coming on line in the next couple of years, which will add to available inventory, which could theoretically lower prices.

At the same time, there are also commercial projects that are scheduled to come on line with lots of office space (and employees to work in those offices).  Those office workers are all going to need to live somewhere - and I hope that they choose to live close to where they work so they do not add to our already severe traffic problems.  Perhaps they will be moving into the city and buying up all these condos - but if that is the case, will they be selling their homes in the outlying areas???

Bellevue Condo Inventory May 27, 2007

Today there are 130 Bellevue condos listed for sale or pending sale on the NWMLS. They range in asking price from $194,950 to $3,550,000, with the average being $508,223. (this is driven up substantially by a small number of units on the high end located in downtown Bellevue). These condos range in size from 446 square feet to 3,588 square feet, with the average size being 1,176 sq ft. The average number of days on market is current 44, although I do look for this number to continue to rise.

If you have a condo you would like to sell, please remember that I list properties for your choice of only 1% of the sales price or $1000 up front. Both of these options include print advertising in Eastside Business and on a large number of websites for maximum exposure.

Current Bellevue Home Inventory

As of this morning there are 328 Bellevue SFRs (single family residences) listed for sale (or pending a sale) on the NWMLS (Northwest Multiple Listing Service). They range in asking price from $399,998 to $7,498,000 and in size from 670 square feet to 12,000 square feet. The average list price is a whopping $1,283,450 and average time on market is currently 64 days.

I will be posting this data at least every week so we can start tracking trends. If you have any questions about this information, a particular neighbo